{"punk":1482,"name":"CryptoPunk #1482","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1482","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1482.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mohawk","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":30.0455,"usd":63797,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.5022,"high_eth":32.8241,"low_usd":58396,"high_usd":69697},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.1741,"high_eth":35.8596,"low_usd":53453,"high_usd":76142},"sigma_log":0.0884,"multiple_of_floor":0.9883,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.0455,"usd":63797,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.5022,"high_eth":32.8241,"low_usd":58396,"high_usd":69697},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.1741,"high_eth":35.8596,"low_usd":53453,"high_usd":76142},"sigma_log":0.0884,"multiple_of_floor":0.9883,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":{"ask_eth":47.5,"ask_usd":100859,"z":5.18,"z_text":"5.2σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-08-27T12:47:11.000Z","days_listed":73},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":99.3},{"pct":-8.1,"beta":-0.084,"term":"attr:Mohawk","label":"Mohawk","sales_12m":74,"weighted_sales":16.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.3056,"date":"2017-07-18","block":4040134,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":33,"adjusted_eth":26.5397},{"eth":76,"date":"2021-08-24","block":13090758,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":6,"adjusted_eth":30.6013},{"eth":83,"date":"2021-11-14","block":13610761,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":127,"adjusted_eth":29.0023},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-12-31","block":13915543,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":207,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":63,"date":"2022-01-08","block":13962300,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":30.4241},{"eth":59.69,"date":"2022-01-12","block":13992954,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":5,"adjusted_eth":30.2682},{"eth":62.5,"date":"2022-01-15","block":14008020,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":11,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":79.9,"date":"2022-01-26","block":14083902,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":179,"adjusted_eth":30.553},{"eth":66.5,"date":"2022-02-05","block":14145174,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":125,"adjusted_eth":28.8841},{"eth":74.5,"date":"2022-02-07","block":14156720,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":95,"adjusted_eth":32.3774},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-22","block":14258347,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":168,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-22","block":14258347,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":172,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":69.5,"date":"2022-12-02","block":16100162,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":32.2762},{"eth":64.44,"date":"2022-12-07","block":16132498,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":111,"adjusted_eth":30.6329},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-03-31","block":19553338,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":210,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":37.9949,"date":"2025-01-13","block":21618496,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":465,"adjusted_eth":32.1829}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.5,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":9132,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4064,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.869,"date":"2026-07-12","punk":2957,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6763,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":2957,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.1591,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":3860,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":39.9374,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":4777,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4089,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.92,"date":"2026-03-19","punk":3860,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":34.5331,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-02-03","punk":7717,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.9166,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.25,"date":"2026-01-23","punk":9132,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0754,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Cigarette","sales_12m":111}],"summary":["Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.5 to 32.8 ETH, 2σ range 25.2 to 35.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Mohawk -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1482","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}