{"punk":1648,"name":"CryptoPunk #1648","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1648","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1648.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Purple Lipstick","Mohawk Thin","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":30.2135,"usd":64153,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6672,"high_eth":31.8432,"low_usd":60870,"high_usd":67614},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2,"high_eth":33.5608,"low_usd":57755,"high_usd":71261},"sigma_log":0.0525,"multiple_of_floor":0.9939,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.2135,"usd":64153,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6672,"high_eth":31.8432,"low_usd":60870,"high_usd":67614},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2,"high_eth":33.5608,"low_usd":57755,"high_usd":71261},"sigma_log":0.0525,"multiple_of_floor":0.9939,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":51.5},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":9.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.41,"date":"2017-07-08","block":3992675,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":12,"adjusted_eth":41.5467},{"eth":0.4,"date":"2019-06-20","block":7997913,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":9,"adjusted_eth":28.0184},{"eth":0.45,"date":"2019-11-27","block":9010409,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":178,"adjusted_eth":36.973},{"eth":15,"date":"2021-02-20","block":11895514,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":74,"adjusted_eth":33.678},{"eth":21.24,"date":"2021-03-01","block":11954942,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":175,"adjusted_eth":28.6976},{"eth":17.75,"date":"2021-03-06","block":11981459,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":190,"adjusted_eth":30.8343},{"eth":23,"date":"2021-03-15","block":12045717,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":34.96},{"eth":61.5,"date":"2022-05-04","block":14713137,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":30.4049},{"eth":61.71,"date":"2022-06-18","block":14987789,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":116,"adjusted_eth":30.479},{"eth":64.8,"date":"2022-06-25","block":15025671,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":128,"adjusted_eth":29.8699},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-06-26","block":15026691,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":403,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-06-26","block":15026691,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":407,"adjusted_eth":null}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.994,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9334,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.46,"date":"2026-10-28","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9417,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.49,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5931,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0499,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":52.5,"date":"2026-07-07","punk":1470,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":49.1985,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.48,"date":"2026-07-04","punk":9710,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4375,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.425,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.86,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":7834,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.317,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.79,"date":"2026-03-11","punk":5629,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8137,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.015,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Lipstick","sales_12m":66},{"attribute":"Mohawk Thin","sales_12m":51}],"summary":["Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.7 to 31.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 33.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1648","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}