{"punk":2228,"name":"CryptoPunk #2228","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2228","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2228.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Goat","Shaved Head"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-09","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-10T00:20:34.964Z","fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"estimate":{"eth":31.6809,"usd":67473,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.222,"high_eth":34.3467,"low_usd":62236,"high_usd":73151},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.9539,"high_eth":37.2369,"low_usd":57406,"high_usd":79306},"sigma_log":0.0808,"multiple_of_floor":1.0421,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":31.6809,"usd":67473,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.222,"high_eth":34.3467,"low_usd":62236,"high_usd":73151},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.9539,"high_eth":37.2369,"low_usd":57406,"high_usd":79306},"sigma_log":0.0808,"multiple_of_floor":1.0421,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","block":26383794,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2129.7699825150853,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","block":26383794,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4,"public_asks":743,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.4,"beta":0.0434,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.7,"beta":0.1197,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":64.5},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":98.5},{"pct":-7.2,"beta":-0.0751,"term":"attr:Goat","label":"Goat","sales_12m":37,"weighted_sales":16.2},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.1}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.1,"date":"2020-05-25","block":10135900,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":78,"adjusted_eth":29.8571},{"eth":2.9,"date":"2020-09-26","block":10938884,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":29.3867},{"eth":58,"date":"2021-12-21","block":13846185,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":43,"adjusted_eth":32.0582},{"eth":70.99,"date":"2022-03-18","block":14412044,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":117,"adjusted_eth":29.6076},{"eth":73.88,"date":"2022-03-20","block":14423772,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":11,"adjusted_eth":31.2155},{"eth":61.3,"date":"2022-04-26","block":14662073,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":122,"adjusted_eth":30.081},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-05-02","block":14696391,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":66,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-05-10","block":14748259,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":294,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":95.5,"date":"2022-07-20","block":15178999,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":74,"adjusted_eth":35.1946},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-09-18","block":15560903,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":101,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-09-24","block":15603847,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":269,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":70,"date":"2022-10-09","block":15707187,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":124,"adjusted_eth":31.952}],"comparables":[{"eth":35.17,"date":"2026-10-03","punk":1241,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4089,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.88,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":1575,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":46.4796,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-01-09","punk":1567,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.2543,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-01-06","punk":1823,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.9443,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.9849,"date":"2024-12-21","punk":1241,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.462,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41.8,"date":"2024-12-18","punk":1241,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5785,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":53,"date":"2024-12-03","punk":1575,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.4195,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.45,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":8233,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4397,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0226,"type_multiple":{"sales":770,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0659,"median_multiple":1.0659},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 31.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 10:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-09.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (770 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +4%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Goat -7%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2228","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}