{"punk":2306,"name":"CryptoPunk #2306","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2306","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2306.svg","type":"Zombie","skin_tone":null,"attributes":["Earring","Mohawk Thin","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":483.8563,"usd":1027390,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":273.633,"high_eth":855.5871,"low_usd":581015,"high_usd":1816700},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":154.7464,"high_eth":1512.9066,"low_usd":328579,"high_usd":3212412},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":483.8563,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":483.8563,"usd":1027390,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":273.633,"high_eth":855.5871,"low_usd":581015,"high_usd":1816700},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":154.7464,"high_eth":1512.9066,"low_usd":328579,"high_usd":3212412},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":483.8563,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Zombie","date":"2026-11-09","eth":480,"public_asks":10,"punk":2306}},"listing":{"ask_eth":480,"ask_usd":1019202,"z":-0.01,"z_text":"at the estimate","listed_since":"2025-11-10T00:11:23.000Z","days_listed":364},"argument":{"cell":"Zombie","terms":[],"backtest":{"cell":"Zombie","rare":{"n":110,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.927},"thin":true,"sigma":0.57},"own_sales":[{"eth":125,"date":"2021-02-11","block":11833001,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":70,"adjusted_eth":620.915},{"eth":461,"date":"2021-04-18","block":12263697,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":709.5899},{"eth":320,"date":"2024-04-08","block":19609225,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":345,"adjusted_eth":231.619}],"comparables":[{"eth":400,"date":"2023-10-14","punk":6704,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":270.5228,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":400,"date":"2021-05-18","punk":1190,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":856.338,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":380,"date":"2021-04-08","punk":6704,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":586.6938,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2020-12-05","punk":1190,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":299.3231,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2020-11-16","punk":6704,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":386.9091,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2020-11-01","punk":1190,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":263.6314,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":5,"date":"2018-10-02","punk":6704,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":1381.8182,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":440,"date":"2025-05-18","punk":3609,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":287.0386,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0,"type_multiple":{"sales":111,"period":"all history, weighted to recent sales (half-life 2 years)","multiple":15.9163,"median_multiple":15.9163},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 484 ETH (beta), 1σ range 274 to 856 ETH, 2σ range 155 to 1,513 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Zombie punks: 15.9x the floor, the weighted median of 111 sales over all history; too few sales for attribute terms.","In the backtest, 93% of 110 Zombie sales landed inside the 2σ range. The range is wide on purpose."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2306","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}