{"punk":2480,"name":"CryptoPunk #2480","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2480","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2480.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mohawk Dark","Vape"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":30.1885,"usd":64100,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.6604,"high_eth":32.9478,"low_usd":58732,"high_usd":69959},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.3439,"high_eth":35.9593,"low_usd":53814,"high_usd":76354},"sigma_log":0.0875,"multiple_of_floor":0.993,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.1885,"usd":64100,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.6604,"high_eth":32.9478,"low_usd":58732,"high_usd":69959},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.3439,"high_eth":35.9593,"low_usd":53814,"high_usd":76354},"sigma_log":0.0875,"multiple_of_floor":0.993,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":{"ask_eth":37.495,"ask_usd":79615,"z":2.48,"z_text":"2.5σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-07-21T13:54:59.000Z","days_listed":110},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":99.3},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0792,"term":"attr:Mohawk Dark","label":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53,"weighted_sales":13.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.12,"date":"2018-01-20","block":4940920,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":40.5333},{"eth":20.21,"date":"2021-04-23","block":12297415,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":166,"adjusted_eth":31.2028},{"eth":21,"date":"2021-07-21","block":12871565,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":146,"adjusted_eth":31.2941},{"eth":38,"date":"2021-08-05","block":12962446,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":54,"adjusted_eth":25.9946},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-08-20","block":13062141,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":353,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":103.97,"date":"2021-09-03","block":13155293,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":32.5174},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-05-19","block":25131329,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":242,"adjusted_eth":28.6286},{"eth":30.1,"date":"2026-06-03","block":25238147,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":320,"adjusted_eth":29.6898}],"comparables":[{"eth":37,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5942,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.0824,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.5,"date":"2026-08-22","punk":5942,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.7955,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.99,"date":"2026-10-16","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4095,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-10-11","punk":3739,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.3404,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-09-26","punk":1481,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5821,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.311,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":9787,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.058,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35.75,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":2128,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9647,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37.49,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":9787,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1433,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0707,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Vape","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.3 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Mohawk Dark -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2480","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}