{"punk":3355,"name":"CryptoPunk #3355","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3355","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3355.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Shadow Beard","Knitted Cap"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-09","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-10T00:20:34.964Z","fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"estimate":{"eth":36.8342,"usd":78448,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.246,"high_eth":40.8096,"low_usd":70806,"high_usd":86915},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0074,"high_eth":45.214,"low_usd":63909,"high_usd":96295},"sigma_log":0.1025,"multiple_of_floor":1.2117,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":36.8342,"usd":78448,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.246,"high_eth":40.8096,"low_usd":70806,"high_usd":86915},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0074,"high_eth":45.214,"low_usd":63909,"high_usd":96295},"sigma_log":0.1025,"multiple_of_floor":1.2117,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","block":26383794,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2129.7699825150853,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T10:04:35.000Z","block":26383794,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":5,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4,"public_asks":743,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.4,"beta":0.0434,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.7,"beta":0.1197,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":64.5},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":98.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-07-19","block":8182390,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":111,"adjusted_eth":21.7143},{"eth":0.35,"date":"2019-07-26","block":8228019,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":0.494,"date":"2020-01-07","block":9231928,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":98,"adjusted_eth":27.3047},{"eth":0.82,"date":"2020-05-17","block":10085485,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":135,"adjusted_eth":31.16},{"eth":1,"date":"2020-08-05","block":10601630,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":168,"adjusted_eth":38.481},{"eth":3.5,"date":"2020-09-24","block":10927894,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":97,"adjusted_eth":40.1509},{"eth":13.83,"date":"2021-02-18","block":11879080,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":31.0741},{"eth":62.873,"date":"2023-08-31","block":18033944,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":301,"adjusted_eth":39.6543},{"eth":63,"date":"2025-07-29","block":23021224,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":19,"adjusted_eth":36.1495},{"eth":38.69,"date":"2026-02-02","block":24371857,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":640,"adjusted_eth":42.1116}],"comparables":[{"eth":40.4,"date":"2026-11-01","punk":7440,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.3867,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.92,"date":"2026-08-03","punk":5322,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.9066,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.5,"date":"2026-05-12","punk":7440,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.595,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-09-16","punk":8781,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.0521,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.5,"date":"2025-06-03","punk":5322,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1503,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.55,"date":"2025-05-26","punk":5322,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.1932,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48,"date":"2025-05-21","punk":5322,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0534,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-05-13","punk":5322,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6733,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1281,"type_multiple":{"sales":770,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0659,"median_multiple":1.0659},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Shadow Beard","sales_12m":55},{"attribute":"Knitted Cap","sales_12m":49}],"summary":["Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 10:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-09.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (770 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +4%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3355","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}