{"punk":3662,"name":"CryptoPunk #3662","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3662","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3662.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Headband","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":30.2781,"usd":64291,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7587,"high_eth":33.0261,"low_usd":58941,"high_usd":70126},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.449,"high_eth":36.0235,"low_usd":54037,"high_usd":76490},"sigma_log":0.0869,"multiple_of_floor":0.996,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.2781,"usd":64291,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7587,"high_eth":33.0261,"low_usd":58941,"high_usd":70126},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.449,"high_eth":36.0235,"low_usd":54037,"high_usd":76490},"sigma_log":0.0869,"multiple_of_floor":0.996,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":99.3},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0763,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":8.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.1,"date":"2018-03-02","block":5185076,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":25,"date":"2021-02-23","block":11913708,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":204,"adjusted_eth":32.4786},{"eth":25,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12929843,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":122,"adjusted_eth":29.321},{"eth":37.9,"date":"2025-10-25","block":23652214,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":150,"adjusted_eth":29.6185},{"eth":29.15,"date":"2026-10-25","block":26266112,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":214,"adjusted_eth":28.8746},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-10-25","block":26272251,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":67,"adjusted_eth":29.7165}],"comparables":[{"eth":53,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":1424,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":51.5254,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35.9,"date":"2026-10-09","punk":8159,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.6574,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-09-30","punk":2298,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3261,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34.85,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":7323,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4467,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34.59,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":8272,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9275,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":5559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9097,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-09-17","punk":1607,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.3011,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.49,"date":"2026-08-28","punk":9700,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.0281,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0677,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Headband","sales_12m":47}],"summary":["Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Clown Eyes Green -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[{"sale_day":"2026-10-25","estimate_date":"2026-10-24","price_eth":29.15,"est_eth":31.3322,"low1":28.839,"high1":34.0409,"low2":26.5442,"high2":36.9838,"z":-0.87,"confidence":"High","source":"native-buy","prospective":true,"model_version":"est-v2-202610","z_text":"0.9σ below the estimate"},{"sale_day":"2026-10-25","estimate_date":"2026-10-24","price_eth":30,"est_eth":31.3322,"low1":28.839,"high1":34.0409,"low2":26.5442,"high2":36.9838,"z":-0.52,"confidence":"High","source":"native-buy","prospective":true,"model_version":"est-v2-202610","z_text":"0.5σ below the estimate"}],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3662","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}