{"punk":5358,"name":"CryptoPunk #5358","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5358","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5358.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Black Lipstick","Crazy Hair","Blue Eye Shadow"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":31.5211,"usd":66930,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.8708,"high_eth":33.2625,"low_usd":63426,"high_usd":70628},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.3069,"high_eth":35.1002,"low_usd":60105,"high_usd":74530},"sigma_log":0.0538,"multiple_of_floor":1.0369,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":31.5211,"usd":66930,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.8708,"high_eth":33.2625,"low_usd":63426,"high_usd":70628},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.3069,"high_eth":35.1002,"low_usd":60105,"high_usd":74530},"sigma_log":0.0538,"multiple_of_floor":1.0369,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":51.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":60.02,"date":"2022-01-14","block":14005828,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":1,"adjusted_eth":30.4355},{"eth":68.88,"date":"2022-01-22","block":14058192,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":66,"adjusted_eth":31.0215},{"eth":75,"date":"2022-02-02","block":14128847,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":6,"adjusted_eth":30.8316},{"eth":65,"date":"2022-02-23","block":14265334,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":30.1679},{"eth":65.5,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290430,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":179,"adjusted_eth":29.0686},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":45,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":88,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":79.2,"date":"2022-03-24","block":14449573,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":33.0317},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2026-05-01","block":25000543,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":473,"adjusted_eth":30.2527}],"comparables":[{"eth":31.21,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5893,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6158,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.994,"date":"2026-09-27","punk":5893,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.9756,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":8497,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.631,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":9732,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7051,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-04-03","punk":2156,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0815,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-27","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5442,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-26","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5442,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.32,"date":"2026-02-12","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8418,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0274,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Black Lipstick","sales_12m":95},{"attribute":"Crazy Hair","sales_12m":59},{"attribute":"Blue Eye Shadow","sales_12m":18}],"summary":["Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5358","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}