{"punk":5637,"name":"CryptoPunk #5637","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5637","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5637.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Earring","Mohawk Thin","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":29.3968,"usd":62419,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7917,"high_eth":31.0946,"low_usd":59011,"high_usd":66024},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.2742,"high_eth":32.8905,"low_usd":55789,"high_usd":69838},"sigma_log":0.0561,"multiple_of_floor":0.967,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":29.3968,"usd":62419,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7917,"high_eth":31.0946,"low_usd":59011,"high_usd":66024},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.2742,"high_eth":32.8905,"low_usd":55789,"high_usd":69838},"sigma_log":0.0561,"multiple_of_floor":0.967,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":9.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2017-07-03","block":3966546,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":18,"adjusted_eth":32.3404},{"eth":0.3,"date":"2019-01-07","block":7028106,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":33.1636},{"eth":0.4,"date":"2019-04-16","block":7578234,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":4,"adjusted_eth":35.7647},{"eth":50,"date":"2022-06-18","block":14985727,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":106,"adjusted_eth":24.6954},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-06-18","block":14985743,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":526,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-06-18","block":14985743,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":530,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":64.75,"date":"2022-10-28","block":15845164,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":87,"adjusted_eth":29.5157},{"eth":65.9,"date":"2022-11-03","block":15891208,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":186,"adjusted_eth":29.9859},{"eth":61.88,"date":"2023-02-14","block":16628285,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":66,"adjusted_eth":29.5407},{"eth":0,"date":"2023-02-16","block":16638188,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":226,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2023-02-16","block":16638188,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":230,"adjusted_eth":null}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.425,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.86,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":7834,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.317,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2772,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.094,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.8,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":6379,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4458,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":9732,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7051,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.75,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2828,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3255,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":25.1,"date":"2026-04-17","punk":7981,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4823,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.79,"date":"2026-03-11","punk":5629,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8137,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0424,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303},{"attribute":"Mohawk Thin","sales_12m":51}],"summary":["Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 32.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5637","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}