{"punk":5732,"name":"CryptoPunk #5732","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5732","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5732.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Smile","Normal Beard Black","Stringy Hair","Clown Eyes Blue"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":39.7746,"usd":84455,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.7249,"high_eth":45.5587,"low_usd":73733,"high_usd":96737},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3163,"high_eth":52.1839,"low_usd":64372,"high_usd":110804},"sigma_log":0.1358,"multiple_of_floor":1.3084,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":39.7746,"usd":84455,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.7249,"high_eth":45.5587,"low_usd":73733,"high_usd":96737},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3163,"high_eth":52.1839,"low_usd":64372,"high_usd":110804},"sigma_log":0.1358,"multiple_of_floor":1.3084,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":{"ask_eth":57.32,"ask_usd":121710,"z":2.69,"z_text":"2.7σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-03-05T09:36:11.000Z","days_listed":249},"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":20,"beta":0.1822,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.1},{"pct":17.2,"beta":0.1585,"term":"attr:Smile","label":"Smile","sales_12m":21,"weighted_sales":6.8},{"pct":-9.3,"beta":-0.0981,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":94,"weighted_sales":24.6},{"pct":-7.8,"beta":-0.0812,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Blue","label":"Clown Eyes Blue","sales_12m":65,"weighted_sales":6.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.3,"date":"2018-01-08","block":4874365,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":114},{"eth":3,"date":"2021-01-05","block":11597460,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":241,"adjusted_eth":19.8693},{"eth":5.45,"date":"2021-01-12","block":11642223,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":33.8122},{"eth":22,"date":"2021-02-22","block":11904796,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":154,"adjusted_eth":28.4596},{"eth":26,"date":"2021-02-25","block":11924371,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":36.7628},{"eth":70,"date":"2023-01-29","block":16513030,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":250,"adjusted_eth":32.145},{"eth":69.75,"date":"2023-02-10","block":16600049,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":289,"adjusted_eth":33.5029},{"eth":47.6,"date":"2025-10-08","block":23532901,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":29.8482},{"eth":48.48,"date":"2025-10-09","block":23540135,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":516,"adjusted_eth":30.4188}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9798,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.2,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":9984,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5961,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.22,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":5450,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1938,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.99,"date":"2026-06-16","punk":8918,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2476,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.4,"date":"2026-05-19","punk":9016,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6704,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-05-11","punk":9016,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.3011,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2026-04-27","punk":9984,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3114,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.67,"date":"2026-04-17","punk":5450,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3986,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2051,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Normal Beard Black","sales_12m":21}],"summary":["Estimate 39.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.7 to 45.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 52.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%, Stringy Hair -9%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5732","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}