{"punk":5962,"name":"CryptoPunk #5962","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5962","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5962.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Frown","Frumpy Hair","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-09","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-10T00:20:34.964Z","fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"estimate":{"eth":31.3921,"usd":66858,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.9334,"high_eth":34.0597,"low_usd":61621,"high_usd":72539},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.6673,"high_eth":36.954,"low_usd":56795,"high_usd":78704},"sigma_log":0.0816,"multiple_of_floor":1.0326,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":31.3921,"usd":66858,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.9334,"high_eth":34.0597,"low_usd":61621,"high_usd":72539},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.6673,"high_eth":36.954,"low_usd":56795,"high_usd":78704},"sigma_log":0.0816,"multiple_of_floor":1.0326,"n1_eth":32.4045,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","block":26384093,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":6,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2129.7699825150853,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","block":26384093,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":6,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4,"public_asks":743,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.4,"beta":0.0434,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-7.2,"beta":-0.0752,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59,"weighted_sales":19.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":12.8,"date":"2021-02-18","block":11879352,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":219,"adjusted_eth":28.7598},{"eth":13.3,"date":"2021-02-20","block":11896898,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":4,"adjusted_eth":29.8612},{"eth":14.65,"date":"2021-02-21","block":11901724,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":233,"adjusted_eth":22.268},{"eth":22.74,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12924624,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":181,"adjusted_eth":26.6704},{"eth":65,"date":"2022-02-12","block":14193485,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":191,"adjusted_eth":28.8678},{"eth":68.89,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290430,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":30.5731},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":53,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":94,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":71.94,"date":"2022-06-20","block":14995671,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"round-trip-30d","log_index":398,"adjusted_eth":31.9267},{"eth":66,"date":"2022-06-29","block":15045969,"source":"native-bid","excluded":"round-trip-30d","log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":30.423},{"eth":68.69,"date":"2022-10-22","block":15806191,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":46,"adjusted_eth":31.1761}],"comparables":[{"eth":29,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":7711,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.1932,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8212,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.31,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0633,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1687,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.49,"date":"2026-08-30","punk":5975,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.786,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3719,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.69,"date":"2025-11-05","punk":5935,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":27.2342,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.0676,"date":"2025-10-09","punk":7771,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.16,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0317,"type_multiple":{"sales":770,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0659,"median_multiple":1.0659},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Frown","sales_12m":39},{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-09.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (770 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +4%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5962","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}