{"punk":7608,"name":"CryptoPunk #7608","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7608","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7608.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Front Beard","Mohawk Dark"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":28.0055,"usd":59465,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":25.133,"high_eth":31.2064,"low_usd":53366,"high_usd":66262},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":22.5551,"high_eth":34.773,"low_usd":47892,"high_usd":73835},"sigma_log":0.1082,"multiple_of_floor":0.9212,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":28.0055,"usd":59465,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":25.133,"high_eth":31.2064,"low_usd":53366,"high_usd":66262},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":22.5551,"high_eth":34.773,"low_usd":47892,"high_usd":73835},"sigma_log":0.1082,"multiple_of_floor":0.9212,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":99.3},{"pct":-7.2,"beta":-0.0751,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0792,"term":"attr:Mohawk Dark","label":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53,"weighted_sales":13.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.9,"date":"2020-05-22","block":10114625,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":162,"adjusted_eth":27.36},{"eth":0.88,"date":"2020-08-03","block":10585623,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":216,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":1.4,"date":"2020-09-11","block":10841281,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":142,"adjusted_eth":30.8406},{"eth":2.16,"date":"2020-09-24","block":10924496,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":213,"adjusted_eth":24.7789},{"eth":15.301,"date":"2021-07-01","block":12739993,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":180,"adjusted_eth":27.6054},{"eth":16.6,"date":"2021-07-02","block":12746168,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":196,"adjusted_eth":29.1868},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-07-09","block":12789987,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":50,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":43.69,"date":"2025-04-26","block":22354447,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":351,"adjusted_eth":30.1995},{"eth":45.48,"date":"2025-06-03","block":22623900,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":228,"adjusted_eth":30.467},{"eth":44.95,"date":"2025-06-09","block":22670121,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":235,"adjusted_eth":31.0564},{"eth":37.74,"date":"2025-06-22","block":22762369,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":28.6967},{"eth":40.76,"date":"2025-07-08","block":22877568,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":216,"adjusted_eth":30.222},{"eth":40.76,"date":"2025-07-13","block":22907876,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":170,"adjusted_eth":28.6498},{"eth":26,"date":"2026-02-01","block":24358854,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":264,"adjusted_eth":28.9524},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-02-02","block":24370851,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":603,"adjusted_eth":30.4762},{"eth":29.99,"date":"2026-10-16","block":26206420,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":267,"adjusted_eth":29.4095}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.45,"date":"2026-01-03","punk":9465,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6261,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-10-16","punk":8871,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3806,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-10-11","punk":3739,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.3404,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-09-26","punk":1481,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5821,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.311,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":9787,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.058,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35.75,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":2128,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9647,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5942,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.0824,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":8871,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.1458,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 28.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.1 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 22.6 to 34.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Front Beard -7%, Mohawk Dark -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7608","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}