{"punk":7789,"name":"CryptoPunk #7789","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7789","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7789.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Spots","Do-rag","Vape","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":31.9899,"usd":67925,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.2591,"high_eth":34.9755,"low_usd":62127,"high_usd":74265},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.7615,"high_eth":38.2397,"low_usd":56824,"high_usd":81196},"sigma_log":0.0892,"multiple_of_floor":1.0523,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":31.9899,"usd":67925,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.2591,"high_eth":34.9755,"low_usd":62127,"high_usd":74265},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.7615,"high_eth":38.2397,"low_usd":56824,"high_usd":81196},"sigma_log":0.0892,"multiple_of_floor":1.0523,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":14,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":14,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-5.5,"beta":-0.0563,"term":"attr:Do-rag","label":"Do-rag","sales_12m":51,"weighted_sales":17.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":29.99,"date":"2021-05-03","block":12362495,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":322,"adjusted_eth":44.6472},{"eth":75,"date":"2022-07-24","block":15206399,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":77,"adjusted_eth":29.0816},{"eth":78.4,"date":"2022-07-25","block":15209271,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":264,"adjusted_eth":31.0333},{"eth":84.5,"date":"2022-11-29","block":16078056,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":146,"adjusted_eth":38.9566},{"eth":50,"date":"2023-09-29","block":18242478,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":488,"adjusted_eth":33.4066},{"eth":26.88,"date":"2024-07-25","block":20383678,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":72,"adjusted_eth":32.5688}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.98,"date":"2026-02-23","punk":6755,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5041,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":52.3649,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":5965,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6877,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.47,"date":"2025-10-04","punk":5965,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.511,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.8,"date":"2025-08-25","punk":5965,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.5048,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.5,"date":"2025-05-18","punk":8306,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.5536,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.6,"date":"2025-05-10","punk":8306,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.0169,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-04-22","punk":3762,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.8406,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.98,"date":"2025-02-19","punk":3762,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8284,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0127,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Spots","sales_12m":14},{"attribute":"Vape","sales_12m":50},{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 35.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 38.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Do-rag -6%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7789","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}