{"punk":7938,"name":"CryptoPunk #7938","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7938","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7938.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Earring","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":30.5744,"usd":64920,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.0245,"high_eth":32.2071,"low_usd":61629,"high_usd":68387},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.5532,"high_eth":33.927,"low_usd":58505,"high_usd":72038},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0057,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.5744,"usd":64920,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.0245,"high_eth":32.2071,"low_usd":61629,"high_usd":68387},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.5532,"high_eth":33.927,"low_usd":58505,"high_usd":72038},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0057,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0393,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":41.2},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":9.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.39,"date":"2017-07-08","block":3992661,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":7,"adjusted_eth":39.52},{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-09-03","block":8477101,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":60,"adjusted_eth":25.3333},{"eth":0.8,"date":"2020-05-08","block":10022606,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":123,"adjusted_eth":44.2182},{"eth":3.5,"date":"2020-09-14","block":10857905,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":245,"adjusted_eth":54.8454},{"eth":26.5,"date":"2021-07-27","block":12905542,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":26,"adjusted_eth":36.6182},{"eth":67.49,"date":"2022-09-11","block":15513587,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":147,"adjusted_eth":33.1186},{"eth":44.505,"date":"2025-05-13","block":22477119,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":283,"adjusted_eth":28.1924},{"eth":45.38,"date":"2025-06-04","block":22630939,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":454,"adjusted_eth":30.3265},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-07-20","block":22963039,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":28.9524}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.425,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2772,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.094,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":9732,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7051,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.75,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2828,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3255,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":25.1,"date":"2026-04-17","punk":7981,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4823,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.79,"date":"2026-03-11","punk":5629,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8137,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-07-21","punk":3377,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0981,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46,"date":"2025-05-15","punk":7981,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.015,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0031,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303}],"summary":["Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 32.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 33.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7938","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}