{"punk":8335,"name":"CryptoPunk #8335","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8335","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8335.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Mustache","Bandana","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":35.9933,"usd":76426,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.7073,"high_eth":39.6094,"low_usd":69449,"high_usd":84104},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7212,"high_eth":43.5888,"low_usd":63108,"high_usd":92554},"sigma_log":0.0957,"multiple_of_floor":1.184,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":35.9933,"usd":76426,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.7073,"high_eth":39.6094,"low_usd":69449,"high_usd":84104},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7212,"high_eth":43.5888,"low_usd":63108,"high_usd":92554},"sigma_log":0.0957,"multiple_of_floor":1.184,"n1_eth":32.4001,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":14,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":14,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"public_asks":744,"punk":7843}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.0435,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.2,"beta":0.0972,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":87.6},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0355,"term":"attr:Bandana","label":"Bandana","sales_12m":63,"weighted_sales":13.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":3,"date":"2020-09-26","block":10937322,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":293,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":16.75,"date":"2021-04-08","block":12201172,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":188,"adjusted_eth":25.8608},{"eth":60,"date":"2022-01-13","block":13994473,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":30.4254},{"eth":65.99,"date":"2022-01-18","block":14032083,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":265,"adjusted_eth":33.1641},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-12-11","block":16163042,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":58,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":9.6969,"date":"2022-12-24","block":16254861,"source":"native-bid","excluded":"below-half-floor","log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":4.7},{"eth":59.82,"date":"2022-12-24","block":16255211,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":69,"adjusted_eth":28.9944},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-12-24","block":16255245,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":29.49,"date":"2024-08-20","block":20572492,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":233,"adjusted_eth":31.0421},{"eth":36,"date":"2025-02-24","block":21914686,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":143,"adjusted_eth":31.7401},{"eth":36.14,"date":"2025-02-27","block":21940239,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":32.2281},{"eth":51.2,"date":"2025-08-26","block":23223477,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":33.2084}],"comparables":[{"eth":51,"date":"2025-04-22","punk":3302,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.2604,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":46.69,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":3302,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9463,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":40.5,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5581,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2118,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.99,"date":"2026-08-31","punk":2687,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.2509,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.65,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":5581,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2195,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.9,"date":"2026-05-23","punk":6068,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8182,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.33,"date":"2026-05-17","punk":6068,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4731,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":6068,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5789,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1052,"type_multiple":{"sales":771,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0658,"median_multiple":1.0658},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mustache","sales_12m":52},{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Bandana -4%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8335","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}