{"punk":8917,"name":"CryptoPunk #8917","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8917","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8917.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Gold Chain","Headband","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":28.8825,"usd":61327,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.1995,"high_eth":30.6697,"low_usd":57754,"high_usd":65122},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.6146,"high_eth":32.5674,"low_usd":54388,"high_usd":69152},"sigma_log":0.06,"multiple_of_floor":0.9501,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":28.8825,"usd":61327,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.1995,"high_eth":30.6697,"low_usd":57754,"high_usd":65122},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.6146,"high_eth":32.5674,"low_usd":54388,"high_usd":69152},"sigma_log":0.06,"multiple_of_floor":0.9501,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":13,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":13,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-3.7,"beta":-0.0376,"term":"attr:Headband","label":"Headband","sales_12m":47,"weighted_sales":4.9},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0224,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":111,"weighted_sales":13.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.44,"date":"2018-11-21","block":6746531,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":145,"adjusted_eth":107.0937},{"eth":50,"date":"2023-08-31","block":18037193,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":394,"adjusted_eth":31.5353},{"eth":52.45,"date":"2023-11-08","block":18527576,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":300,"adjusted_eth":30.6631},{"eth":56.5,"date":"2023-11-23","block":18634540,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":88,"adjusted_eth":30.6769},{"eth":56.89,"date":"2024-01-03","block":18928139,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":283,"adjusted_eth":31.0551},{"eth":41.42,"date":"2025-04-11","block":22247310,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":200,"adjusted_eth":29.6275},{"eth":42.95,"date":"2025-04-22","block":22325474,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":249,"adjusted_eth":29.6948},{"eth":53.83,"date":"2025-07-29","block":23027660,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":179,"adjusted_eth":30.8877}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.47,"date":"2026-07-12","punk":6603,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4281,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8118,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.09,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":2278,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9021,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":36,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":3859,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.4168,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.5,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":4075,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2397,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.49,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5931,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0499,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.6,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":4075,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0424,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":38.69,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":9310,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.5934,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.06,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Gold Chain","sales_12m":24}],"summary":["Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.2 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.6 to 32.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Headband -4%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8917","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}