{"punk":9295,"name":"CryptoPunk #9295","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9295","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9295.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Mole","Straight Hair Dark","Pipe"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-08","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-09T00:20:39.191Z","fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"estimate":{"eth":37.8171,"usd":80298,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.6432,"high_eth":42.5088,"low_usd":71436,"high_usd":90261},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.93,"high_eth":47.7825,"low_usd":63552,"high_usd":101458},"sigma_log":0.1169,"multiple_of_floor":1.244,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-08","eth":37.8171,"usd":80298,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.6432,"high_eth":42.5088,"low_usd":71436,"high_usd":90261},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.93,"high_eth":47.7825,"low_usd":63552,"high_usd":101458},"sigma_log":0.1169,"multiple_of_floor":1.244,"n1_eth":30.669,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"8643503c6f1ea280797873ec6e14ed6443d548a08977cc39fd5268725d862fc4"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":40,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-08","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2123.3378189594514,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-09T09:04:23.000Z","block":26376317,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1160,"age_minutes":40,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":23.3,"beta":0.2095,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":14.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.5,"date":"2019-04-13","block":7558639,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":90,"adjusted_eth":44.7059},{"eth":28.5,"date":"2021-02-22","block":11908857,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":30,"adjusted_eth":36.8681},{"eth":51.99,"date":"2023-11-08","block":18530527,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":261,"adjusted_eth":30.3942},{"eth":62.95,"date":"2024-01-25","block":19082319,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":75,"adjusted_eth":30.2558}],"comparables":[{"eth":31.9949,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4554,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9921,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.95,"date":"2026-09-05","punk":4554,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.3321,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":4554,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4737,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.4,"date":"2026-03-22","punk":563,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.6041,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-02-24","punk":563,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.7047,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":92.5,"date":"2025-10-04","punk":9205,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":57.5051,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.39,"date":"2025-08-10","punk":4554,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4504,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.69,"date":"2025-03-29","punk":8089,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1879,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2095,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mole","sales_12m":90},{"attribute":"Straight Hair Dark","sales_12m":29},{"attribute":"Pipe","sales_12m":32}],"summary":["Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.6 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9295","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}