{"punk":9608,"name":"CryptoPunk #9608","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9608","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9608.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Earring","Straight Hair","Cigarette","Clown Eyes Blue"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-09","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-10T00:20:34.964Z","fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"estimate":{"eth":29.9896,"usd":63871,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.3807,"high_eth":31.6898,"low_usd":60444,"high_usd":67492},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.8581,"high_eth":33.4863,"low_usd":57202,"high_usd":71318},"sigma_log":0.0551,"multiple_of_floor":0.9865,"n1_eth":30.6669,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-09","eth":29.9896,"usd":63871,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.3807,"high_eth":31.6898,"low_usd":60444,"high_usd":67492},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.8581,"high_eth":33.4863,"low_usd":57202,"high_usd":71318},"sigma_log":0.0551,"multiple_of_floor":0.9865,"n1_eth":30.6669,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.4,"fingerprint_sha256":"728c3193d57ea933ec2a7600f3401cc44890a385caf964a7673bb4b4823d6ca8"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","block":26384093,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":6,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-09","eth":30.4,"eth_usd":2129.7699825150853,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.4},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-10T11:04:35.000Z","block":26384093,"eth":30.4,"punk":7843,"public_asks":1159,"age_minutes":6,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-10","eth":30.42,"public_asks":404,"punk":4351}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0223,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":111,"weighted_sales":13.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-09-15","block":8555643,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":25.3333},{"eth":0.35,"date":"2019-11-23","block":8987880,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":127,"adjusted_eth":29.5556},{"eth":0.37,"date":"2019-12-08","block":9070126,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":43,"adjusted_eth":30.4},{"eth":5,"date":"2021-01-26","block":11732228,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":15,"adjusted_eth":35.2668},{"eth":30,"date":"2021-07-31","block":12934723,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":302,"adjusted_eth":30.4101},{"eth":59,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13081251,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":26.5012},{"eth":63.9,"date":"2022-01-20","block":14045126,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":9,"adjusted_eth":30.3762},{"eth":42.5,"date":"2023-10-29","block":18458075,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":28.2404},{"eth":48.93,"date":"2023-11-06","block":18514042,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":398,"adjusted_eth":30.4}],"comparables":[{"eth":29.25,"date":"2026-01-05","punk":1620,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2449,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":53.99,"date":"2025-08-09","punk":8774,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.858,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":51,"date":"2025-08-05","punk":8774,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.1049,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-08-01","punk":8774,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6847,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8118,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":3190,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.1932,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4065,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3906,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.69,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":7366,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1154,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0223,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":302},{"attribute":"Straight Hair","sales_12m":34},{"attribute":"Clown Eyes Blue","sales_12m":65}],"summary":["Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-09).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-09.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9608","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}