CryptoPunk #1581 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.7 ETH (about $63,011). 1σ range 27.1 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.1 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2167 2026-09-09: 28.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2167 2026-09-05: 28.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2167 2026-04-22: 28.3 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7885 2025-11-19: 30.9 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2167 2025-09-15: 48.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8832 2025-04-14: 53.7 ETH (38.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8832 2025-02-10: 40.3 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-13: 0.38 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-17: 0.76 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-30: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-02-02: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-19: 58.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.