CryptoPunk #2909 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Pilot Helmet.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 56.9 ETH (about $120,739). 1σ range 41.6 to 77.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 106 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 117 ETH, 2.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 56.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.6 to 77.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 106 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Pilot Helmet +85%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8955 2026-10-18: 32.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-03: 160 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-30: 98.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.