CryptoPunk #384 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Bandana, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $66,930). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 42.2 ETH, 5.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #796 2024-11-15: 34.0 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2782 2026-01-02: 26.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9662 2025-12-21: 27.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1444 2025-09-30: 46.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1444 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7662 2025-09-24: 47.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9663 2025-07-29: 70.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-14: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-16: 48.2 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.