CryptoPunk #4005 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.7 ETH (about $84,282). 1σ range 34.9 to 45.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 51.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.9 to 45.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 51.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Smile +17%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7925 2026-05-17: 48.0 ETH (43.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7925 2025-07-30: 73.0 ETH (41.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5229 2025-07-16: 47.7 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7925 2024-12-12: 40.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #986 2024-11-25: 42.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9018 2026-11-06: 31.8 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-23: 0.10 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.