CryptoPunk #4011 valuation (beta)
Male, Mustache, Stringy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $65,146). 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6883 2026-02-01: 30.7 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-26: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-03: 5.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-17: 10.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 54.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.