CryptoPunk #4069 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $65,121). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 53.1 ETH, 10.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6936 2026-10-06: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-11-28: 30.2 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-11-16: 31.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-11-14: 30.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-08-27: 46.9 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-08-19: 46.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #606 2025-08-08: 53.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5085 2025-07-28: 54.3 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-11: 0.41 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-14: 22.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-28: 65.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.