CryptoPunk #4126 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk, Pipe, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.3 ETH (about $72,811). 1σ range 31.5 to 37.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.9 ETH, 1.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.5 to 37.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7444 2026-01-27: 28.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7444 2025-11-29: 33.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 34.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-04: 33.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-07-23: 49.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-07-23: 48.0 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-03: 0.18 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-04: 0.33 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-30: 31.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.