CryptoPunk #4163 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $77,229). 1σ range 33.0 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.0 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2032 2024-11-26: 40.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3320 2024-11-13: 34.7 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2032 2024-11-12: 32.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (58.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-09-20: 0.18 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.