CryptoPunk #4269 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $80,298). 1σ range 33.6 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.6 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4700 2025-11-19: 31.5 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #757 2025-05-09: 43.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #757 2025-05-06: 41.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9881 2025-03-23: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9881 2025-01-03: 38.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9881 2025-01-02: 38.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9881 2024-12-21: 36.5 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9881 2024-11-14: 33.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-08-09: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-11: 49.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.