CryptoPunk #4351 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Frumpy Hair, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.3 ETH (about $62,265). 1σ range 27.7 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 32.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 30.4 ETH, 0.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 31.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 32.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6365 2025-07-31: 53.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6365 2025-04-03: 42.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6321 2025-02-06: 40.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5293 2025-02-05: 40.2 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5293 2024-12-16: 39.9 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5293 2024-12-03: 42.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-10-02: 31.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.