CryptoPunk #4420 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Spots, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $66,930). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4294 2026-07-01: 50.0 ETH (49.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4105 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5032 2026-05-15: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5032 2026-05-14: 29.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1311 2025-11-04: 34.3 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1311 2025-10-30: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3811 2025-07-10: 42.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-11-11: 58.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-01: 24.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-11-01: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-08: 26.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-23: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-03: 45.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-14: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-15: 56.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-28: 26.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-18: 28.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.