CryptoPunk #4495 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Messy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $77,236). 1σ range 33.0 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.0 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 44.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8109 2025-10-06: 49.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8109 2025-09-23: 47.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8109 2025-07-14: 44.7 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8109 2025-07-13: 43.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8205 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5579 2026-10-30: 38.0 ETH (40.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-24: 0.10 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.