CryptoPunk #4535 valuation (beta)
Female, Pink With Hat, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $80,492). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.3 ETH, 3.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Pink With Hat +29%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5191 2026-10-14: 58.0 ETH (56.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (48.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4704 2026-07-11: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9710 2026-07-04: 32.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7090 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-29: 0.70 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-12: 45.7 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-12: 46.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.