CryptoPunk #4704 valuation (beta)
Female, Headband, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.9 ETH (about $74,128). 1σ range 32.1 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 41.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 41.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Headband -4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6698 2025-07-31: 52.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7981 2025-05-15: 46.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8505 2026-09-22: 32.3 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-09-30: 71.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-10-04: 65.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-08: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-04: 68.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-21: 65.9 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-30: 66.2 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-18: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-07-11: 33.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.