CryptoPunk #4791 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $66,254). 1σ range 28.7 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 33.0 ETH, 0.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.7 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (58.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (43.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8336 2026-05-16: 50.0 ETH (46.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8186 2025-09-02: 54.5 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6421 2025-07-13: 42.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2276 2025-04-07: 60.0 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.