CryptoPunk #4797 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Tassle Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $67,729). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 58.7 ETH, 11.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.7 ETH, 2σ range 28.5 to 35.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4898 2025-08-13: 58.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7587 2026-09-17: 29.4 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-03: 8.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 28.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-06: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-11: 22.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-23: 59.6 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-25: 80.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-01: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 126 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-07: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-03: 55.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.