CryptoPunk #5766 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Mohawk, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.8 ETH (about $80,298). 1σ range 33.6 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.7 ETH, 3.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.6 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9228 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7076 2026-06-13: 41.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3042 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9691 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1940 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-22: 63.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-27: 84.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-27: 64.9 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2023-01-19: 66.3 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-19: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-22: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-18: 58.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.