CryptoPunk #5878 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Bandana, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $66,930). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8955 2026-10-18: 32.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8955 2026-09-23: 35.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1895 2026-09-03: 30.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1895 2026-08-09: 33.4 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-09: 1.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-02: 14.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-12: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-30: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-02: 69.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.