CryptoPunk #6111 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Pigtails.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $65,121). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 45.0 ETH, 7.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9546 2026-08-20: 40.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9460 2025-05-12: 81.0 ETH (54.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (93.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-01-27: 41.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.