CryptoPunk #6164 valuation (beta)
Female, Choker, Blonde Bob, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $74,926). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 4.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Choker +18%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5668 2026-07-01: 52.0 ETH (51.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2278 2026-10-30: 27.1 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9310 2026-09-23: 38.7 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9310 2026-09-21: 30.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.