CryptoPunk #6395 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.9 ETH (about $61,290). 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.7 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 56.9 ETH, 6.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.2 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.7 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (51.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4777 2026-05-16: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-06-19: 66.7 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-11: 74.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-03: 41.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-06-07: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-09: 44.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-16: 41.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.