CryptoPunk #6421 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Mohawk, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.7 ETH (about $60,917). 1σ range 25.9 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 23.5 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.9 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 23.5 to 35.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk -8%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 36.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-05: 34.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2744 2025-11-04: 33.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #540 2025-10-13: 47.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9891 2025-10-10: 50.5 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 18.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-01: 22.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-13: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.