CryptoPunk #6643 valuation (beta)
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $64,333). 1σ range 27.8 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 62.0 ETH, 8.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8671 2025-11-26: 37.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4717 2025-08-12: 58.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5973 2025-06-11: 45.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2056 2025-04-17: 53.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3579 2024-11-12: 34.8 ETH (36.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3425 2026-11-08: 30.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-06-15: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 19.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 34.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.