CryptoPunk #6867 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Fedora, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $79,931). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 40.0 ETH, 0.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7839 2025-11-09: 36.3 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8407 2025-10-27: 100 ETH (77.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7839 2025-10-18: 45.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6482 2025-09-20: 51.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #8334 2024-12-01: 47.7 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-22: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-07: 47.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.