CryptoPunk #8490 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Frumpy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.5 ETH (about $60,533). 1σ range 25.7 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.7 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 23.2 to 35.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2004 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2647 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7377 2026-09-05: 31.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7377 2026-02-05: 29.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3837 2026-02-05: 35.0 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7377 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2266 2025-12-12: 30.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7377 2025-12-09: 29.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-10-03: 5.49 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-24: 2.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-12-05: 3.15 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-26: 21.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.