CryptoPunk #8514 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Straight Hair Dark, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $66,930). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3976 2025-12-08: 30.1 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3976 2025-12-03: 28.7 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2710 2026-09-21: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4711 2026-08-20: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #3774 2026-06-11: 35.5 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-05: 14.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-27: 26.1 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-13: 32.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-16: 42.0 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-16: 42.1 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-27: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-28: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-29: 32.4 ETH (sale)
- 2026-10-09: 34.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.