CryptoPunk #8656 valuation (beta)
Female, Mohawk Thin, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $65,121). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3859 2026-10-08: 36.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7916 2026-10-05: 33.6 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5931 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6096 2026-09-15: 34.9 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4711 2026-08-20: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1470 2026-07-07: 52.5 ETH (49.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4654 2026-07-03: 78.0 ETH (73.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2617 2026-07-02: 32.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-25: 1.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-24: 2.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 13.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-01: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-01: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-08: 63.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.