CryptoPunk #8814 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Stringy Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $64,415). 1σ range 28.8 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Stringy Hair -3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #628 2026-06-16: 31.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-12: 17.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 91.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-14: 103 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-21: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-29: 93.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-04: 66.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.