CryptoPunk #9806 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Knitted Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $65,121). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4449 2025-07-31: 54.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4449 2025-07-28: 53.4 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2994 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9670 2026-10-06: 40.0 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #2651 2026-10-06: 50.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #9310 2026-09-23: 38.7 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-10: 0.25 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-10-31: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-09: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-15: 58.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-07: 55.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.