CryptoPunk #9851 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Clown Hair Green, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $66,930). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4554 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-09-05: 27.9 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2026-04-22: 28.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4554 2025-08-10: 54.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6326 2026-10-08: 51.5 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-01: 17.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-16: 24.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-12: 140 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-16: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-26: 70.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-08-31: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-28: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-27: 69.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.