CryptoPunk #9993 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Cap, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.8 ETH (about $71,858). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 39.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 39.0 ETH, 1.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 39.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (771 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5273 2025-08-25: 65.0 ETH (41.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5273 2025-08-06: 59.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5273 2025-05-10: 54.6 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5273 2025-05-01: 51.8 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #5273 2025-04-10: 48.0 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-06-18: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-30: 58.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-23: 33.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.