CryptoPunk #1873 valuation (beta)
Female, Straight Hair Dark, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.0 ETH (about $78,517). 1σ range 33.2 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 111 ETH, 10.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 41.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.40 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-08).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-08.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7877 2026-05-16: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #7877 2026-05-06: 30.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 26.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4319 2025-12-19: 25.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4319 2025-08-09: 54.7 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #6253 2025-07-21: 50.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #4319 2025-01-09: 37.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-08)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-20: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 78.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-13: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-01: 46.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.